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【nohu imetamise ajal】The 355 teams that won't win March Madness 2023
发布日期:2023-03-27 18:47:09

Champ Week is in full swing, bubble teams everywhere are fretting about potential bid thieves and the coaching carousel will soon fuel rampant speculation. It can all mean only one thing.

It is time once again to try to extend one of the sport's most venerable streaks. I am referring of course to the storied feature known as the 355 teams that will not win the national title.

Each year, eight contenders are selected from Division I's 363 members. And every year since this piece's inception in 2016, the NCAA title has indeed been captured by one of those eight teams.

Here are the 355 teams that will not win the national championship, divided into three categories: ineligible, near misses and no clear path.

Ineligible (11 teams)

Bellarmine Knights
Lindenwood Lions
Merrimack Warriors
Queens University Royals
St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
Stonehill Skyhawks
Tarleton Texans
Texas A&M-Commerce Lions
UC San Diego Tritons
Utah Tech Trailblazers

Near misses (25 teams)

1. Arizona Wildcats

Arizona looks like a chip off the old block from last year, which of course is amazing, given Tommy Lloyd lost Bennedict Mathurin, Dalen Terry and Christian Koloko to the NBA draft. Then again, there's less daylight between this excellent offense and the rest of the Pac-12 than there was a year ago in conference play. Throw in a defense that's also taken a half-step back and the Wildcats land here. Barely.

2. Arkansas Razorbacks

Ricky Council IV and Nick Smith Jr. form a potent duo, and Makhi and Makhel Mitchell are formidable rim defenders. With Smith having missed a good deal of time this season, however, the Razorbacks are still trying to decide how exactly they expect to win with the SEC's No. 8 offense and No. 6 D.

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3. Baylor Bears

Around the time the Bears reeled off 10 wins in 11 outings in January and February, the thinking here was we really must include this group in the magic eight. Then cooler heads prevailed, on the grounds that high-scoring Baylor had, by far, the Big 12's worst defense in conference play.

4. Creighton Bluejays

Now we're getting risky. Creighton gave Kansas its toughest challenge in the 2022 bracket before the national final. Furthermore, that was when the Bluejays were shorthanded, and a year younger than they are now. Make no mistake, with a slightly lower turnover rate, some more offensive boards and (thus) a higher number of shot attempts, CU would not be a "near miss."

5. Duke Blue Devils

Jon Scheyer's youthful rotation is hitting its stride and defending at a level that whole-season numbers aren't fully capturing. The challenge for the Blue Devils is that even at this late date their best play call on offense is still a missed shot. Duke is masterful on the offensive glass but mediocre in the half-court otherwise.

6. Gonzaga Bulldogs

How fitting would it be if Gonzaga won it all this year as, say, a No. 3 seed? After some near misses as a top seed, maybe the Bulldogs will at last cut down the nets as a (relative) underdog. If so, it will be because the Zags either transformed or worked around a defense that started the tournament as the program's weakest such unit in over a decade.

7. Indiana Hoosiers

With all due respect to the great performers from the 24 other teams, Trayce Jackson-Davis is the outstanding player of this section. In addition to his defense and prodigious feats of scoring, he's now waving the ball around in one hand before firing bullet passes to the weak side for a corner 3. So why isn't IU's bottom line on offense better than ranking No. 7 in Big Ten play? Is it the 3-pointers that the highly accurate Indiana is failing to attempt? Whatever the answer is, it's landing the Hoosiers here.

8. Iowa Hawkeyes

The Hawkeyes have been highly effective on offense (No. 1 in the Big Ten), highly erratic across the regular season (see: a loss at home to Eastern Illinois) and even highly variable within games (ask Michigan State about its trip to Iowa City). All of the above add up to appointment viewing, truly. But six wins in a row feels like a stretch.

9. Iowa State Cyclones

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While posting a 9-9 record in this year's Big 12 is an achievement in its own right, maybe the Cyclones just need to get away from all their league rivals. T.J. Otzelberger's group could look great the first weekend and have everyone marveling anew at the strength of ISU's league. On the other hand, this is also an offense that scored well under a point per possession during a four-game losing streak that closed out February.

10. Kansas State Wildcats

If last November you envisioned that an explanation would be needed by March for why Kansas State may not win the national title, take one proud step forward. Jerome Tang has ushered in a new era in Manhattan, and in Year 1 the vibe included 30% 3-point shooting by Big 12 opponents. Will this continue to be the case in the field of 68? Actually, it could, in which case the "near miss" label could well be misapplied. As Coach Tang says, what's next?

11. Kentucky Wildcats

You won't find a better rebounding team at both ends of the floor (and it's not just Oscar Tshiebwe -- we see you, Chris Livingston). Then again, holding opponents to one shot in a low-foul kind of way is just about the whole skill set for UK on defense. It's also unclear exactly when Cason Wallace will be returning from the injured list.

12. Maryland Terrapins

Everyone says if the tournament were played in College Park, the Terrapins would win it all. Why do we always portray the NCAA tournament as lacking home games in particular? If you're Kevin Willard, you're instead telling your team March Madness is in fact free of true road games. Still, across 10 contests of each type, the Terps were (slightly) less accurate from the field than their Big Ten opponents.

13. Memphis Tigers

Congratulations, Tigers, on making it this far. Just two weeks ago Penny Hardaway's team was still thought to be in danger of not making the tournament. Now we welcome Memphis to the safety of the projected bracket by finding fault with the team's performance in this or that respect. Tough business! But, yes, the Tigers' defense inside the arc is more adequate than excellent, including on the glass.

14. Miami Hurricanes

Here's a pick that gives us serious pause. Miami is old and skilled and can make an opposing defense look completely overmatched. Notable grown man Norchad Omier constitutes a compelling argument for ignoring high school recruits and building through the transfer portal. There's no "but" coming here. Eight is just a really small number.

15. Michigan State Spartans

The Spartans ended the season on an incredible roll on offense. You're likely hearing about this for the first time because over the course of the four-game run MSU went 3-1 instead of 4-0. As it happens, Iowa recorded even more extraordinary numbers on offense in its outing against Tom Izzo's team. So while Michigan State might not project to win six times, its one loss could be a highly entertaining watch.

16. Missouri Tigers

Dennis Gates has been a wonder in Year 1 at Missouri, and the year-to-year progression of Kobe Brown and Cleveland State transfer D'Moi Hodge has been no less wondrous. Opponents do however tend to make their 2s against this defense.

17. Northwestern Wildcats

You can watch basketball for a long time and not see a team achieve the same kind of advantage in turnovers that Northwestern seizes game in and game out. Give full credit to Chase Audige and Ty Berry for sowing chaos among opposing offenses. Thing is, the Wildcats don't merely benefit from all the takeaways. They need them. On each possession in Big Ten play where there wasn't a turnover, NU was outscored by a healthy margin.

18. Providence Friars

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The last time we saw the Friars, they were pummeled at home 82-58 by the otherwise unprepossessing Seton Hall Pirates. While we studiously avoid recency effect around these parts, PC dropping three of its past four did trigger online speculation to the effect that Ed Cooley's group could miss the tournament entirely. If that occurs it will be difficult to win a national title.

19. San Diego State Aztecs

This is Brian Dutcher's strongest team since the Malachi Flynn days. SDSU is once again elite on defense, and the concern here is not that the Aztecs will live and die by the 3. The question is instead whether the Aztecs' offensewill do so. San Diego State ranked No. 10 in an 11-team Mountain West for accuracy inside the arc in conference play.

20. Saint Mary's Gaels

Randy Bennett's group famously plays tough defense at a slow pace. The Gaels also generate a high number of scoring chances by taking care of the ball and crashing the offensive glass. Logan Johnson and Mitchell Saxen are proven veterans and Aidan Mahaney's a master of hero ball at the tender age of 19. If the shots are falling, who knows, but "near miss" feels about right.

21. Texas Longhorns

Marcus Carr has been highly and rightly touted for years, yet somehow his performance this season isn't being touted highly enough. The fifth-year senior's hitting more shots and recording more steals than ever. His team, however, is lackluster on the boards, particularly on the offensive end.

22. Texas A&M Aggies

Wade Taylor IV is overwhelming opponents with made free throws in a cumulatively devastating way we haven't seen since Trae Young. In his past five outings, the sophomore has gone 51-of-55 at the line. The worry for the Aggies is what happens if Taylor isn't getting those freebies? A&M's accuracy from the field was just average in SEC play.

23. TCU Horned Frogs

The Horned Frogs shoot an exceptionally low number of 3s, and even those rare attempts tend to be misses. This makes the opposing defense's job easier even though Eddie Lampkin Jr. and Mike Miles Jr. form what's likely to be the hardest-working inside-outside duo in the bracket.

24. Virginia Cavaliers

In ACC play, the Cavaliers were somewhat interior-oriented on offense yet ranked No. 13 in the league for 2-point accuracy. Tony Bennett being the Jedi master he is, Virginia made do with shot volume and defense. Nevertheless, De'Andre Hunter isn't walking through that door.

25. Xavier Musketeers

This is a self-evidently dangerous group to put under "near miss." The Big East has tied itself in knots trying to defend Souley Boum, Jack Nunge and Colby Jones. It's possible that fabulous offense and really good defensive rebounding is enough to win it all. Placing the Musketeers here was a close call.

No clear path (319 teams)

  1. Abilene Christian Wildcats

  2. Air Force Falcons

  3. Akron Zips

  4. Alabama A&M Bulldogs

  5. Alabama State Hornets

  6. Albany Great Danes

  7. Alcorn State Braves

  8. American Eagles

  9. Appalachian State Mountaineers

  10. Arizona State Sun Devils

  11. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

  12. Arkansas State Red Wolves

  13. Army Black Knights

  14. Auburn Tigers

  15. Austin Peay Governors

  16. Ball State Cardinals

  17. Belmont Bruins

  18. Bethune-Cookman Wildcats

  19. Binghamton Bearcats

  20. Boise State Broncos

  21. Boston College Eagles

  22. Boston University Terriers

  23. Bowling Green Falcons

  24. Bradley Braves

  25. Brown Bears

  26. Bryant Bulldogs

  27. Bucknell Bison

  28. Buffalo Bulls

  29. Butler Bulldogs

  30. BYU Cougars

  31. Cal Poly Mustangs

  32. California Golden Bears

  33. California Baptist Lancers

  34. Campbell Fighting Camels

  35. Canisius Golden Griffins

  36. Central Arkansas Bears

  37. Central Connecticut Blue Devils

  38. Central Michigan Chippewas

  39. Charleston Cougars

  40. Charleston Southern Buccaneers

  41. Charlotte 49ers

  42. Chattanooga Mocs

  43. Chicago State Cougars

  44. Cincinnati Bearcats

  45. The Citadel Bulldogs

  46. Clemson Tigers

  47. Cleveland State Vikings

  48. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

  49. Colgate Raiders

  50. Colorado Buffaloes

  51. Colorado State Rams

  52. Columbia Lions

  53. Coppin State Eagles

  54. Cornell Big Red

  55. CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners

  56. CSU Fullerton Titans

  57. CSU Northridge Matadors

  58. Dartmouth Big Green

  59. Davidson Wildcats

  60. Dayton Flyers

  61. Delaware Blue Hens

  62. Delaware State Hornets

  63. Denver Pioneers

  64. DePaul Blue Demons

  65. Detroit Mercy Titans

  66. Drake Bulldogs

  67. Drexel Dragons

  68. Duquesne Dukes

  69. East Carolina Pirates

  70. East Tennessee State Buccaneers

  71. Eastern Illinois Panthers

  72. Eastern Kentucky Colonels

  73. Eastern Michigan Eagles

  74. Eastern Washington Eagles

  75. Elon Phoenix

  76. Evansville Purple Aces

  77. Fairfield Stags

  78. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

  79. Florida Gators

  80. Florida A&M Rattlers

  81. Florida Atlantic Owls

  82. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

  83. Florida International Panthers

  84. Florida State Seminoles

  85. Fordham Rams

  86. Fresno State Bulldogs

  87. Furman Paladins

  88. Gardner-Webb Running' Bulldogs

  89. George Mason Patriots

  90. George Washington Colonials

  91. Georgetown Hoyas

  92. Georgia Bulldogs

  93. Georgia Southern Eagles

  94. Georgia State Panthers

  95. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

  96. Grambling Tigers

  97. Grand Canyon Antelopes

  98. Green Bay Phoenix

  99. Hampton Pirates

  100. Hartford Hawks

  101. Harvard Crimson

  102. Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

  103. High Point Panthers

  104. Hofstra Pride

  105. Holy Cross Crusaders

  106. Houston Baptist Huskies

  107. Howard Bison

  108. Idaho Vandals

  109. Idaho State Bengals

  110. Illinois Fighting Illini

  111. Illinois State Redbirds

  112. Incarnate Word Cardinals

  113. Indiana State Sycamores

  114. Iona Gaels

  115. IUPUI Jaguars

  116. Jackson State Tigers

  117. Jacksonville Dolphins

  118. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

  119. James Madison Dukes

  120. Kansas City Roos

  121. Kennesaw State Owls

  122. Kent State Golden Flashes

  123. La Salle Explorers

  124. Lafayette Leopards

  125. Lamar Cardinals

  126. Lehigh Mountain Hawks

  127. Liberty Flames

  128. Lipscomb Bisons

  129. Little Rock Trojans

  130. Long Beach State Beach

  131. Long Island University Sharks

  132. Longwood Lancers

  133. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

  134. UL Monroe Warhawks

  135. LSU Tigers

  136. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

  137. Louisville Cardinals

  138. Loyola Chicago Ramblers

  139. Loyola Marymount Lions

  140. Loyola (MD) Greyhounds

  141. Maine Black Bears

  142. Manhattan Jaspers

  143. Marist Red Foxes

  144. Marshall Thundering Herd

  145. Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks

  146. UMass Minutemen

  147. UMass Lowell River Hawks

  148. McNeese Cowboys

  149. Mercer Bears

  150. Miami (OH) RedHawks

  151. Michigan Wolverines

  152. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

  153. Milwaukee Panthers

  154. Minnesota Golden Gophers

  155. Ole Miss Rebels

  156. Mississippi State Bulldogs

  157. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

  158. Missouri State Bears

  159. Monmouth Hawks

  160. Montana Grizzlies

  161. Montana State Bobcats

  162. Morehead State Eagles

  163. Morgan State Bears

  164. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

  165. Murray State Racers

  166. Navy Midshipmen

  167. Nebraska Cornhuskers

  168. Nevada Wolf Pack

  169. New Hampshire Wildcats

  170. New Mexico Lobos

  171. New Mexico State Aggies

  172. New Orleans Privateers

  173. Niagara Purple Eagles

  174. Nicholls Colonels

  175. NJIT Highlanders

  176. Norfolk State Spartans

  177. North Alabama Lions

  178. North Carolina Tar Heels

  179. North Carolina A&T Aggies

  180. North Carolina Central Eagles

  181. NC State Wolfpack

  182. North Dakota Fighting Hawks

  183. North Dakota State Bison

  184. North Florida Ospreys

  185. North Texas Mean Green

  186. Northeastern Huskies

  187. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

  188. Northern Colorado Bears

  189. Northern Illinois Huskies

  190. Northern Iowa Panthers

  191. Northern Kentucky Norse

  192. Northwestern State Demons

  193. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

  194. Oakland Golden Grizzlies

  195. Ohio Bobcats

  196. Ohio State Buckeyes

  197. Oklahoma Sooners

  198. Oklahoma State Cowboys

  199. Old Dominion Monarchs

  200. Omaha Mavericks

  201. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles

  202. Oregon Ducks

  203. Oregon State Beavers

  204. Pacific Tigers

  205. Pennsylvania Quakers

  206. Penn State Nittany Lions

  207. Pepperdine Waves

  208. Pittsburgh Panthers

  209. Portland Pilots

  210. Portland State Vikings

  211. Prairie View A&M Panthers

  212. Presbyterian Blue Hose

  213. Princeton Tigers

  214. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

  215. Quinnipiac Bobcats

  216. Radford Highlanders

  217. Rhode Island Rams

  218. Rice Owls

  219. Richmond Spiders

  220. Rider Broncs

  221. Robert Morris Colonials

  222. Rutgers Scarlet Knights

  223. Sacramento State Hornets

  224. Sacred Heart Pioneers

  225. St. Bonaventure Bonnies

  226. St. Francis (BKN) Terriers

  227. St. Francis (PA) Red Flash

  228. St. John's Red Storm

  229. Saint Joseph's Hawks

  230. Saint Louis Billikens

  231. Saint Peter's Peacocks

  232. Sam Houston Bearkats

  233. Samford Bulldogs

  234. San Diego Toreros

  235. San Francisco Dons

  236. San José State Spartans

  237. Santa Clara Broncos

  238. Seattle U Redhawks

  239. Seton Hall Pirates

  240. Siena Saints

  241. SIU Edwardsville Cougars

  242. SMU Mustangs

  243. South Alabama Jaguars

  244. South Carolina Gamecocks

  245. South Carolina State Bulldogs

  246. South Carolina Upstate Spartans

  247. South Dakota Coyotes

  248. South Dakota State Jackrabbits

  249. South Florida Bulls

  250. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

  251. SE Louisiana Lions

  252. Southern Jaguars

  253. Southern Illinois Salukis

  254. Southern Miss Golden Eagles

  255. Southern Utah Thunderbirds

  256. Stanford Cardinal

  257. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

  258. Stetson Hatters

  259. Stony Brook Seawolves

  260. Syracuse Orange

  261. Temple Owls

  262. Tennessee State Tigers

  263. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles

  264. Texas A&M-CC Islanders

  265. Texas Southern Tigers

  266. Texas State Bobcats

  267. Texas Tech Red Raiders

  268. Toledo Rockets

  269. Towson Tigers

  270. Troy Trojans

  271. Tulane Green Wave

  272. Tulsa Golden Hurricane

  273. UAB Blazers

  274. UC Davis Aggies

  275. UC Irvine Anteaters

  276. UC Riverside Highlanders

  277. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

  278. UCF Knights

  279. UIC Flames

  280. UMBC Retrievers

  281. UNC Asheville Bulldogs

  282. UNC Greensboro Spartans

  283. UNC Wilmington Seahawks

  284. UNLV Rebels

  285. USC Trojans

  286. UT Arlington Mavericks

  287. UT Martin Skyhawks

  288. UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

  289. Utah Utes

  290. Utah State Aggies

  291. Utah Valley Wolverines

  292. UTEP Miners

  293. UTSA Roadrunners

  294. Valparaiso Beacons

  295. Vanderbilt Commodores

  296. VCU Rams

  297. Vermont Catamounts

  298. Villanova Wildcats

  299. Virginia Tech Hokies

  300. VMI Keydets

  301. Wagner Seahawks

  302. Wake Forest Demon Deacons

  303. Washington Huskies

  304. Washington State Cougars

  305. Weber State Wildcats

  306. West Virginia Mountaineers

  307. Western Carolina Catamounts

  308. Western Illinois Leathernecks

  309. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

  310. Western Michigan Broncos

  311. Wichita State Shockers

  312. William & Mary Tribe

  313. Winthrop Eagles

  314. Wisconsin Badgers

  315. Wofford Terriers

  316. Wright State Raiders

  317. Wyoming Cowboys

  318. Yale Bulldogs

  319. Youngstown State Penguins

Look at you scrolling all the way down here. Well done!

Now, if our math is correct there are but eight teams remaining that have not been named.

If you're a fan of one of these eight as-yet unseen teams, congratulations! Your team has made the 2023 magic eight, which, by simple process of elimination, consists of the following: Alabama, UConn, Houston, Kansas, Marquette, Purdue, Tennessee and UCLA.

A final word to our group of eight: This is bigger than all of you. There's a streak to be considered. Go out there and make this feature look smart.


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